APN Codex Node 2474024700 Series — Investment ConditionsCertified

Supply Pipeline Conditions

Signed Reading
60.7
Which way conditions lean, once each component is signed for or against investment.
Intensity Reading
98.4
How far conditions sit from their own historical centre, without regard to direction.
Both ranked against 62 quarters · as of the quarter ending 30 June 2026 (most recent full-coverage quarter)
1What It Measures

Supply Pipeline Conditions is one of six component branches of the APN Investment Conditions Index™ (24700). It reports the construction pipeline nationally through four components: Approvals Flow (24741), Commencements (24742), Work In Progress (24743) and Pipeline Congestion (24744).

This is a national time-series index, not a geographic one — only the current reading is shown; there is no locality distribution or map for this node.

2Composite Construction
ComponentNodeWeight
Approvals Flow2474125%
Commencements2474225%
Work In Progress2474325%
Pipeline Congestion2474425%

Each component carries equal weight, and the composition renormalises across the components present in any given quarter. The value-of-work-yet-to-be-done input reaching Pipeline Congestion (24744) is deliberately the total-building measure, residential and non-residential combined, rather than the residential-only measure used in the 21500 series — a scoped choice for an investment-conditions reading, not an unresolved inconsistency.

Each component below carries its own certified reading, ranked against its own recorded history. The large figure is the signed position; the intensity position and ranking basis follow beneath it.

3Current Reading in Context
Components · Signed And Intensity Position Of Own History
The Four Components, Each Against Its Own Recorded History
Each axis runs from 0 to 100 and shows one component’s own position, measured against that component’s own history — not against the others. The gold shape is the signed reading, which counts each component for or against investment; the grey dashed outline is the intensity reading, how far each component sits from its own historical centre without regard to direction. Where a component enters the index negated, its two readings mirror each other about the midpoint. The order of the axes is presentational, and the area enclosed by the shapes carries no meaning.
4Reading History
Position · June 2026
Signed reading
500100
60.7
← AgainstFor investment →
Intensity reading
500100
98.4
← NearFar from centre →
Both ranked against 62 quarters
Shaded band: the normal range, 10 to 90
Supply Pipeline Conditions (24740) · Reading History
Node Z-Score by Quarter, March 2011 to June 2026
+1.0912σ · position 98.4, ranked against 62 quarters
Reading, ranked quartersNormal range (middle 80% of ranked quarters)Current reading

The June quarter 2026 reading, +1.0912σ, ranks 98.4 against 62 quarters and sits above the normal range of −1.0272σ to +0.8503σ. The highest ranked reading was +1.1979σ in the September quarter 2016, and the lowest −1.6197σ in the March quarter 2012. The position is the intensity reading.

Show the data
QuarterReadingBasis
Q1 2011−1.3666σRanked
Q2 2011−1.2296σRanked
Q3 2011−1.0277σRanked
Q4 2011−1.5066σRanked
Q1 2012−1.6197σRanked
Q2 2012−1.1694σRanked
Q3 2012−1.0230σRanked
Q4 2012−0.9370σRanked
Q1 2013−1.3408σRanked
Q2 2013−0.8284σRanked
Q3 2013−0.3296σRanked
Q4 2013−0.1444σRanked
Q1 2014−0.5033σRanked
Q2 2014−0.2628σRanked
Q3 2014+0.0516σRanked
Q4 2014+0.4319σRanked
Q1 2015+0.3172σRanked
Q2 2015+0.6325σRanked
Q3 2015+0.7100σRanked
Q4 2015+0.7094σRanked
Q1 2016+0.4353σRanked
Q2 2016+0.8851σRanked
Q3 2016+1.1979σRanked
Q4 2016+0.3091σRanked
Q1 2017+0.1474σRanked
Q2 2017+0.4319σRanked
Q3 2017+0.8644σRanked
Q4 2017+0.8764σRanked
Q1 2018+0.5664σRanked
Q2 2018+0.7057σRanked
Q3 2018+0.4303σRanked
Q4 2018−0.0350σRanked
Q1 2019−0.2228σRanked
Q2 2019−0.2773σRanked
Q3 2019−0.3499σRanked
Q4 2019−0.3120σRanked
Q1 2020−0.4406σRanked
Q2 2020−0.5237σRanked
Q3 2020−0.1970σRanked
Q4 2020+0.2317σRanked
Q1 2021+0.6032σRanked
Q2 2021+0.9890σRanked
Q3 2021+0.8703σRanked
Q4 2021+0.3843σRanked
Q1 2022+0.1147σRanked
Q2 2022+0.4185σRanked
Q3 2022+0.5397σRanked
Q4 2022+0.3630σRanked
Q1 2023−0.3313σRanked
Q2 2023+0.0073σRanked
Q3 2023−0.0832σRanked
Q4 2023−0.0407σRanked
Q1 2024−0.3979σRanked
Q2 2024−0.1265σRanked
Q3 2024+0.1625σRanked
Q4 2024+0.2905σRanked
Q1 2025+0.1396σRanked
Q2 2025+0.3828σRanked
Q3 2025+0.7041σRanked
Q4 2025+0.7228σRanked
Q1 2026+0.6411σRanked
Q2 2026+1.0912σRanked
Components over time

Each component is shown at its own latest certified quarter, on one shared scale (−4σ to +4σ) so they can be compared directly.

Approvals Flow (24741)
+0.6369σ · June 2026 · intensity 89.5 of 172
Commencements (24742)
+0.5146σ · June 2026 · intensity 89.1 of 184
Work In Progress (24743)
+1.3775σ · June 2026 · intensity 100.0 of 168
Pipeline Congestion (24744)
+1.8356σ · June 2026 · intensity 100.0 of 62
Ranked quartersNot rankedNormal range (middle 80% of ranked quarters; model range where indicative)Current reading
Show the component readings
ComponentQuarterReadingIntensityBasis
Approvals Flow (24741)June 2026+0.6369σ89.5empirical, 172 quarters
Commencements (24742)June 2026+0.5146σ89.1empirical, 184 quarters
Work In Progress (24743)June 2026+1.3775σ100.0empirical, 168 quarters
Pipeline Congestion (24744)June 2026+1.8356σ100.0empirical, 62 quarters
5Reading the Pattern

Signed, the branch reads 60.7. Pipeline Congestion (24744) enters negated, a more congested pipeline being an adverse condition for investment, and on that frame it reads the lowest of its own recorded range, while the other three components, each above its own centre, outweigh it. On intensity the branch reads 98.4, ranked against the 62 quarters in which all four components are simultaneously present: only the September quarter 2016 sat further from the branch’s historical centre. On that frame Work In Progress (24743) and Pipeline Congestion each read the highest of their own recorded ranges, with Approvals Flow (24741) at 89.5 and Commencements (24742) at 89.1 — a pipeline that is full at every stage rather than elevated at one.

6Methodology & Disclosed Caveats
  • Four equal-weighted components, drawn from the same two ABS collections (8731.0 approvals, 8752.0 building activity) — the components are correlated by construction, since they read successive stages of one pipeline, so this branch reports one source's view of that pipeline rather than triangulating independent sources.
  • Cross-quarter blending at the parent level — this branch references its own most-recent full-coverage quarter; the other five branches are not all as-of the same calendar quarter, by design. See the APN Investment Conditions Index™ (24700) for the full disclosure.
8Certification
APN Codex Node 24740 — Certified
  • Certified as a component branch of the APN Investment Conditions Index™ (signed reading: 60.6557; intensity reading: 98.3607, recomputed 7 October 2026 on the June quarter 2026 building activity release)
  • All four components independently certified and included at equal weight
  • Correlated-input caveat disclosed above, not hidden in a footnote