APN Codex Node 21235 21230 — Employment & GDP Certified

Growth per Person

Z-Score
−0.1030σ
Period
Q2 2026
Position
31.4 of 208 qtrs
Vintage
2026-Q4
1Node Definition

Growth per Person (21235) measures how fast Australia’s output per person is growing: the change over the year in real GDP per capita. Higher readings mean faster growth in living standards. It is one of two components of Employment & GDP (21230), with Labour Market Tightness (21231), and carries half of that node’s weight. Employment & GDP in turn carries a weighting of 0.15 in the Economic Factors (APN Aggregate Macro-Volatility Index™) (21200).

Output per person is read rather than total output because total output also rises with population, which the platform reads separately in Population Growth & Distribution (21410). Productivity, output per hour worked, is read within the 21230 family.

Known limitations

The 2011–2025 baseline includes the 2020 contraction and the 2021 rebound. They widen its standard deviation to 2.07 percentage points, against 1.02 outside 2020–21, so every reading is compressed toward zero by about half: the June quarter 2026 would read −0.18σ against a baseline without those years. ABS revises the national accounts each quarter, so recent quarters can move.

2Metric Definition

Primary metric: Node Z-Score (Z21235)

Z-Score Construction
Current (Q2 2026)−0.1030σ
YtGDP per capita, chain volume measures, seasonally adjusted, quarter t. June quarter 2026: $24,971
gtGrowth over the year, per cent. June quarter 2026: +0.68%
μ, σBaseline mean and sample standard deviation, March quarter 2011 to December quarter 2025 (0.89%, 2.07 points, 60 quarters)

Metric typology: single-series Z-score of a growth rate. The level of GDP per capita rises over time, so the node reads its growth, which has no trend (correlation with time −0.13 over the baseline).

Total output, shown as context. Real GDP grew 2.14% over the year to the June quarter 2026, against 0.68% per person. Population growth accounts for most of the growth in total output.

3Data Sources
InputSourceFrequencyCoverage
GDP per capita, chain volume measures, seasonally adjustedABS Australian National Accounts (5206.0), Table 1, A2304404CQuarterlySeptember quarter 1973 to June quarter 2026 (growth from September 1974)
GDP, chain volume measures, seasonally adjusted (context only)ABS Australian National Accounts (5206.0), Table 1QuarterlySeptember quarter 1959 to June quarter 2026

Tier-1 sovereign statistical release. No commercial data provider dependency exists within this node.

4Reading History

The chart shows the node’s reading in every quarter, measured against the 2011–2025 baseline.

Growth per Person (21235) · Reading History
Node Z-Score by Quarter, March 2011 to June 2026
−0.1030σ · position 31.4, ranked against 208 quarters
Reading, ranked quartersNormal range (middle 80% of ranked quarters)Current reading

The June quarter 2026 reading, −0.1030σ, ranks 31.4 against 208 quarters and sits inside the normal range of −0.7274σ to +1.5037σ. The highest ranked reading was +4.4357σ in the June quarter 2021, and the lowest −3.8246σ in the June quarter 2020. The 2020 and 2021 readings record the pandemic contraction and rebound. Those quarters sit inside the 2011–2025 baseline and widen its standard deviation, so other readings sit closer to zero than they would against a baseline without them.

Show the data
QuarterReadingBasis
Q3 1974−0.4201σRanked
Q4 1974−1.5428σRanked
Q1 1975−1.2906σRanked
Q2 1975+1.3165σRanked
Q3 1975+0.2425σRanked
Q4 1975−0.4930σRanked
Q1 1976+1.4589σRanked
Q2 1976+0.0578σRanked
Q3 1976+1.0048σRanked
Q4 1976+2.1980σRanked
Q1 1977−0.2599σRanked
Q2 1977+0.2505σRanked
Q3 1977−0.3715σRanked
Q4 1977−0.9540σRanked
Q1 1978−0.3509σRanked
Q2 1978−0.6156σRanked
Q3 1978+0.3604σRanked
Q4 1978+0.9456σRanked
Q1 1979+1.9518σRanked
Q2 1979+0.7081σRanked
Q3 1979+0.3919σRanked
Q4 1979+0.9114σRanked
Q1 1980−0.2025σRanked
Q2 1980+0.7017σRanked
Q3 1980+0.4730σRanked
Q4 1980+0.3262σRanked
Q1 1981+0.2472σRanked
Q2 1981+0.8547σRanked
Q3 1981+1.5555σRanked
Q4 1981+0.4716σRanked
Q1 1982−0.1302σRanked
Q2 1982−0.4633σRanked
Q3 1982−1.7013σRanked
Q4 1982−2.2164σRanked
Q1 1983−2.2575σRanked
Q2 1983−2.7156σRanked
Q3 1983−1.0842σRanked
Q4 1983+0.5319σRanked
Q1 1984+2.2666σRanked
Q2 1984+2.9694σRanked
Q3 1984+2.0172σRanked
Q4 1984+1.4706σRanked
Q1 1985+0.9617σRanked
Q2 1985+1.4819σRanked
Q3 1985+1.6553σRanked
Q4 1985+1.1701σRanked
Q1 1986+0.7806σRanked
Q2 1986−0.4115σRanked
Q3 1986−0.9148σRanked
Q4 1986+0.0094σRanked
Q1 1987+0.1536σRanked
Q2 1987+1.0150σRanked
Q3 1987+1.7573σRanked
Q4 1987+1.9390σRanked
Q1 1988+1.6184σRanked
Q2 1988+0.8722σRanked
Q3 1988+0.3477σRanked
Q4 1988+0.1365σRanked
Q1 1989+0.3927σRanked
Q2 1989+1.4363σRanked
Q3 1989+1.5349σRanked
Q4 1989+0.6229σRanked
Q1 1990+0.5610σRanked
Q2 1990−0.4427σRanked
Q3 1990−1.0935σRanked
Q4 1990−0.6579σRanked
Q1 1991−1.6050σRanked
Q2 1991−1.7318σRanked
Q3 1991−1.2602σRanked
Q4 1991−1.4678σRanked
Q1 1992−0.4696σRanked
Q2 1992+0.0119σRanked
Q3 1992+0.2951σRanked
Q4 1992+1.3071σRanked
Q1 1993+1.2852σRanked
Q2 1993+1.2442σRanked
Q3 1993+0.8174σRanked
Q4 1993+0.6912σRanked
Q1 1994+1.1684σRanked
Q2 1994+1.4539σRanked
Q3 1994+1.7546σRanked
Q4 1994+1.4044σRanked
Q1 1995+0.5226σRanked
Q2 1995+0.1251σRanked
Q3 1995+0.8590σRanked
Q4 1995+0.2605σRanked
Q1 1996+1.0597σRanked
Q2 1996+1.1552σRanked
Q3 1996+0.4369σRanked
Q4 1996+0.9044σRanked
Q1 1997+0.5057σRanked
Q2 1997+1.6950σRanked
Q3 1997+1.3935σRanked
Q4 1997+1.6709σRanked
Q1 1998+1.6121σRanked
Q2 1998+0.6612σRanked
Q3 1998+1.4912σRanked
Q4 1998+1.5330σRanked
Q1 1999+1.5989σRanked
Q2 1999+1.2452σRanked
Q3 1999+0.8598σRanked
Q4 1999+0.9269σRanked
Q1 2000+0.7493σRanked
Q2 2000+1.0447σRanked
Q3 2000+0.6300σRanked
Q4 2000−0.3964σRanked
Q1 2001−0.1692σRanked
Q2 2001−0.2281σRanked
Q3 2001+0.1922σRanked
Q4 2001+0.9723σRanked
Q1 2002+0.9383σRanked
Q2 2002+1.3745σRanked
Q3 2002+0.9345σRanked
Q4 2002+0.7651σRanked
Q1 2003+0.4863σRanked
Q2 2003−0.1666σRanked
Q3 2003+0.5483σRanked
Q4 2003+0.9765σRanked
Q1 2004+1.2499σRanked
Q2 2004+1.4361σRanked
Q3 2004+0.9193σRanked
Q4 2004+0.4552σRanked
Q1 2005+0.4581σRanked
Q2 2005+0.2892σRanked
Q3 2005+0.4694σRanked
Q4 2005+0.4676σRanked
Q1 2006+0.0939σRanked
Q2 2006+0.0015σRanked
Q3 2006+0.1522σRanked
Q4 2006+0.3142σRanked
Q1 2007+0.8885σRanked
Q2 2007+1.0032σRanked
Q3 2007+0.8339σRanked
Q4 2007+0.3874σRanked
Q1 2008+0.2261σRanked
Q2 2008+0.0508σRanked
Q3 2008−0.2309σRanked
Q4 2008−0.6464σRanked
Q1 2009−0.6743σRanked
Q2 2009−0.5090σRanked
Q3 2009−0.6341σRanked
Q4 2009+0.0410σRanked
Q1 2010−0.1635σRanked
Q2 2010−0.1124σRanked
Q3 2010+0.1170σRanked
Q4 2010+0.1527σRanked
Q1 2011−0.1985σRanked
Q2 2011+0.0792σRanked
Q3 2011+0.3727σRanked
Q4 2011+0.4615σRanked
Q1 2012+1.0783σRanked
Q2 2012+0.7879σRanked
Q3 2012+0.3966σRanked
Q4 2012+0.0614σRanked
Q1 2013−0.1765σRanked
Q2 2013−0.3298σRanked
Q3 2013−0.1990σRanked
Q4 2013+0.0028σRanked
Q1 2014+0.1459σRanked
Q2 2014+0.2341σRanked
Q3 2014+0.0498σRanked
Q4 2014−0.1500σRanked
Q1 2015−0.0516σRanked
Q2 2015−0.2383σRanked
Q3 2015+0.0471σRanked
Q4 2015+0.1614σRanked
Q1 2016+0.1135σRanked
Q2 2016+0.3488σRanked
Q3 2016−0.1628σRanked
Q4 2016+0.0831σRanked
Q1 2017−0.2106σRanked
Q2 2017−0.2339σRanked
Q3 2017+0.2501σRanked
Q4 2017−0.0815σRanked
Q1 2018+0.2891σRanked
Q2 2018+0.3519σRanked
Q3 2018+0.0578σRanked
Q4 2018−0.0286σRanked
Q1 2019−0.1476σRanked
Q2 2019−0.3415σRanked
Q3 2019−0.2480σRanked
Q4 2019−0.0808σRanked
Q1 2020−0.5120σRanked
Q2 2020−3.8246σRanked
Q3 2020−2.3265σRanked
Q4 2020−0.8512σRanked
Q1 2021+0.4703σRanked
Q2 2021+4.4357σRanked
Q3 2021+1.6894σRanked
Q4 2021+1.6727σRanked
Q1 2022+0.8284σRanked
Q2 2022+0.7642σRanked
Q3 2022+1.6326σRanked
Q4 2022+0.1042σRanked
Q1 2023−0.1999σRanked
Q2 2023−0.5374σRanked
Q3 2023−0.6034σRanked
Q4 2023−0.9488σRanked
Q1 2024−0.9857σRanked
Q2 2024−0.9505σRanked
Q3 2024−0.8741σRanked
Q4 2024−0.6107σRanked
Q1 2025−0.5561σRanked
Q2 2025−0.2586σRanked
Q3 2025−0.1486σRanked
Q4 2025+0.0962σRanked
Q1 2026+0.0747σRanked
Q2 2026−0.1030σRanked
Z-Score
−0.1030σ
Q2 2026
Position
31.4
ranked against 208 quarters
Growth over the year
+0.68%
June quarter 2026
Baseline mean
0.89%
2011–2025
Baseline σ
2.07
1.02 outside 2020–21
Total GDP growth
+2.14%
context
5Analytical Interpretation

At −0.1030σ (Q2 2026), output per person is growing slightly more slowly than its 2011–2025 average: 0.68% over the year, against a baseline average of 0.89%. Position. 31.4, ranked against 208 quarters since September 1974.

Growth per person had recovered from the declines of 2023 and 2024, reaching its lowest at −1.14% in the March quarter 2024, to 1.09% in the December quarter 2025 and 1.05% in the March quarter 2026. The June quarter reading is the lowest since September 2025. Total output grew 2.14% over the year, so most of the economy’s growth reflects a larger population rather than higher output per person.

7Certification Statement
APN Codex Node 21235 — Growth per Person — Certified
  • The sole input is sourced from a Tier-1 sovereign statistical release (ABS national accounts)
  • The Z-score of −0.1030σ (Q2 2026) is derived directly from the certified input against its 2011–2025 baseline, not manually entered or estimated
  • The position is an empirical percentile rank against 208 quarters
  • The effect of the 2020–21 quarters on the baseline standard deviation is disclosed
  • No commercial data provider dependency exists within this node