APN Codex Node 21238 21230 — Employment & GDP family Certified

Business Investment Growth

Z-Score
+0.9727σ
Period
Q2 2026
Position
73.8 of 264 qtrs
Vintage
2026-Q4
1Node Definition

Business Investment Growth (21238) measures how fast private businesses are adding to the capital stock: the change over the year in private investment in non-dwelling construction and in machinery and equipment. Higher readings mean faster investment growth. It belongs to the Employment & GDP family (21230) and is read in its own right.

Business investment is a leading driver of productivity and of demand for construction capacity, which housing also draws on. Dwelling investment is excluded.

Known limitations

Investment is volatile, and non-dwelling construction is dominated by large projects: its record includes the investment cycles of the early 1980s, the 2000s and the 2012 mining peak. The node measures the flow of investment, not the capital stock per worker. The national accounts are revised each quarter.

2Metric Definition

Primary metric: Node Z-Score (Z21238)

Composite Z-Score Construction
Current (Q2 2026)+0.9727σ
CtPrivate non-dwelling construction investment, growth over the year. June quarter 2026: +7.65% (baseline mean 2.13%, σ 14.58; z +0.3785)
MtPrivate machinery and equipment investment, growth over the year. June quarter 2026: +15.95% (baseline mean 2.08%, σ 8.85; z +1.5669)

Metric typology: equal-weighted mean of two standardised growth rates, chain volume measures, each against its own 2011–2025 baseline.

3Data Sources
InputSourceFrequencyCoverage
Private gross fixed capital formation, non-dwelling construction, chain volume, seasonally adjustedABS Australian National Accounts (5206.0), Table 2, A2304089RQuarterlySeptember quarter 1959 to June quarter 2026
Private gross fixed capital formation, machinery and equipment, chain volume, seasonally adjustedABS Australian National Accounts (5206.0), Table 2, A2304085FQuarterlySeptember quarter 1959 to June quarter 2026

Tier-1 sovereign statistical release. No commercial data provider dependency exists within this node.

4Reading History

The chart shows the node’s reading in every quarter, each input measured against its 2011–2025 baseline.

Business Investment Growth (21238) · Reading History
Node Z-Score by Quarter, March 2011 to June 2026
+0.9727σ · position 73.8, ranked against 264 quarters
Reading, ranked quartersNormal range (middle 80% of ranked quarters)Current reading

The June quarter 2026 reading, +0.9727σ, ranks 73.8 against 264 quarters and sits inside the normal range of −0.9677σ to +1.4883σ. The highest ranked reading was +2.5668σ in the March quarter 1998, and the lowest −2.0218σ in the June quarter 1983. The record includes the investment cycles of the early 1980s, the 2000s and the 2012 mining peak.

Show the data
QuarterReadingBasis
Q3 1960+2.3633σRanked
Q4 1960+1.4886σRanked
Q1 1961−0.0280σRanked
Q2 1961−0.4262σRanked
Q3 1961−0.9244σRanked
Q4 1961−1.0665σRanked
Q1 1962+0.0582σRanked
Q2 1962+0.1683σRanked
Q3 1962+0.7673σRanked
Q4 1962+1.0202σRanked
Q1 1963+1.1542σRanked
Q2 1963+0.4466σRanked
Q3 1963+0.8544σRanked
Q4 1963+1.0218σRanked
Q1 1964+0.2869σRanked
Q2 1964+1.8187σRanked
Q3 1964+0.8560σRanked
Q4 1964+0.9812σRanked
Q1 1965+0.7160σRanked
Q2 1965+0.9488σRanked
Q3 1965+1.1740σRanked
Q4 1965+0.8611σRanked
Q1 1966+1.2521σRanked
Q2 1966−0.2591σRanked
Q3 1966−0.0471σRanked
Q4 1966−0.2486σRanked
Q1 1967−0.0441σRanked
Q2 1967+0.0802σRanked
Q3 1967+0.1667σRanked
Q4 1967+0.5885σRanked
Q1 1968+0.2461σRanked
Q2 1968+0.7388σRanked
Q3 1968+0.8604σRanked
Q4 1968+1.2531σRanked
Q1 1969+0.7121σRanked
Q2 1969+1.2359σRanked
Q3 1969+0.2599σRanked
Q4 1969−0.2191σRanked
Q1 1970+0.2463σRanked
Q2 1970−0.0976σRanked
Q3 1970+0.3964σRanked
Q4 1970+0.7519σRanked
Q1 1971+1.6126σRanked
Q2 1971+1.0600σRanked
Q3 1971+1.3600σRanked
Q4 1971+0.2830σRanked
Q1 1972−0.8876σRanked
Q2 1972−0.8137σRanked
Q3 1972−0.9306σRanked
Q4 1972−0.4178σRanked
Q1 1973+0.2508σRanked
Q2 1973+0.5423σRanked
Q3 1973+0.1107σRanked
Q4 1973+1.0007σRanked
Q1 1974+0.7479σRanked
Q2 1974−0.0169σRanked
Q3 1974+0.1634σRanked
Q4 1974−1.1222σRanked
Q1 1975−1.0297σRanked
Q2 1975−0.5268σRanked
Q3 1975−0.2723σRanked
Q4 1975−0.3723σRanked
Q1 1976+0.2373σRanked
Q2 1976+0.2586σRanked
Q3 1976−0.3792σRanked
Q4 1976+1.0102σRanked
Q1 1977+0.1193σRanked
Q2 1977−0.3041σRanked
Q3 1977+0.3040σRanked
Q4 1977−0.3036σRanked
Q1 1978+0.0970σRanked
Q2 1978+1.4976σRanked
Q3 1978+1.9171σRanked
Q4 1978+2.3755σRanked
Q1 1979+2.0535σRanked
Q2 1979+0.7883σRanked
Q3 1979−0.0722σRanked
Q4 1979−0.5693σRanked
Q1 1980−0.4897σRanked
Q2 1980−0.0519σRanked
Q3 1980+1.4877σRanked
Q4 1980+1.3318σRanked
Q1 1981+1.9969σRanked
Q2 1981+2.2184σRanked
Q3 1981+0.9252σRanked
Q4 1981+1.9029σRanked
Q1 1982+0.7950σRanked
Q2 1982+0.2522σRanked
Q3 1982−0.4523σRanked
Q4 1982−1.1615σRanked
Q1 1983−1.6315σRanked
Q2 1983−2.0218σRanked
Q3 1983−0.9112σRanked
Q4 1983−1.0297σRanked
Q1 1984−0.0305σRanked
Q2 1984+1.3439σRanked
Q3 1984+0.2484σRanked
Q4 1984+0.7562σRanked
Q1 1985+1.8726σRanked
Q2 1985+1.3317σRanked
Q3 1985+1.9698σRanked
Q4 1985+1.4102σRanked
Q1 1986−0.1681σRanked
Q2 1986+0.0291σRanked
Q3 1986−0.5535σRanked
Q4 1986+0.6519σRanked
Q1 1987+0.2948σRanked
Q2 1987+0.8254σRanked
Q3 1987+1.1076σRanked
Q4 1987+0.7715σRanked
Q1 1988+1.8935σRanked
Q2 1988+1.4643σRanked
Q3 1988+0.6766σRanked
Q4 1988+1.0668σRanked
Q1 1989+1.2982σRanked
Q2 1989+0.8553σRanked
Q3 1989+1.3708σRanked
Q4 1989+0.0933σRanked
Q1 1990−0.8309σRanked
Q2 1990−1.4680σRanked
Q3 1990−1.3242σRanked
Q4 1990−1.4969σRanked
Q1 1991−1.8755σRanked
Q2 1991−1.6183σRanked
Q3 1991−1.8614σRanked
Q4 1991−1.6470σRanked
Q1 1992−0.6210σRanked
Q2 1992−0.6835σRanked
Q3 1992−0.8897σRanked
Q4 1992+1.4905σRanked
Q1 1993+0.2358σRanked
Q2 1993+0.5582σRanked
Q3 1993+0.9286σRanked
Q4 1993−0.8537σRanked
Q1 1994+0.8980σRanked
Q2 1994+0.9249σRanked
Q3 1994+1.7412σRanked
Q4 1994+2.1607σRanked
Q1 1995+1.0652σRanked
Q2 1995+1.4886σRanked
Q3 1995+0.9519σRanked
Q4 1995+0.4186σRanked
Q1 1996+1.3358σRanked
Q2 1996+1.1415σRanked
Q3 1996+1.1998σRanked
Q4 1996+1.0833σRanked
Q1 1997+0.4943σRanked
Q2 1997+1.1424σRanked
Q3 1997+0.8872σRanked
Q4 1997+0.8216σRanked
Q1 1998+2.5668σRanked
Q2 1998+0.0289σRanked
Q3 1998+0.1683σRanked
Q4 1998+0.4522σRanked
Q1 1999−1.4639σRanked
Q2 1999+0.3104σRanked
Q3 1999+0.4665σRanked
Q4 1999+0.3068σRanked
Q1 2000+1.7023σRanked
Q2 2000+0.5181σRanked
Q3 2000+0.5880σRanked
Q4 2000−1.0242σRanked
Q1 2001−1.3498σRanked
Q2 2001−1.3286σRanked
Q3 2001−1.1588σRanked
Q4 2001+0.4639σRanked
Q1 2002+0.4404σRanked
Q2 2002+1.2488σRanked
Q3 2002+1.3315σRanked
Q4 2002+2.1911σRanked
Q1 2003+1.7157σRanked
Q2 2003+1.2595σRanked
Q3 2003+1.2405σRanked
Q4 2003+0.6070σRanked
Q1 2004+0.7439σRanked
Q2 2004+0.8225σRanked
Q3 2004+0.5992σRanked
Q4 2004+1.1308σRanked
Q1 2005+0.8846σRanked
Q2 2005+1.3124σRanked
Q3 2005+1.5676σRanked
Q4 2005+1.3692σRanked
Q1 2006+1.3954σRanked
Q2 2006+0.7950σRanked
Q3 2006+0.1935σRanked
Q4 2006−0.2853σRanked
Q1 2007+0.5086σRanked
Q2 2007+0.8586σRanked
Q3 2007+1.2486σRanked
Q4 2007+1.3315σRanked
Q1 2008+0.9272σRanked
Q2 2008+0.7120σRanked
Q3 2008+0.6041σRanked
Q4 2008+0.4495σRanked
Q1 2009−0.3807σRanked
Q2 2009−0.5724σRanked
Q3 2009−1.1966σRanked
Q4 2009−0.3694σRanked
Q1 2010−0.5315σRanked
Q2 2010−0.5392σRanked
Q3 2010+0.0443σRanked
Q4 2010−0.1999σRanked
Q1 2011+0.9004σRanked
Q2 2011+1.3419σRanked
Q3 2011+2.4227σRanked
Q4 2011+1.5576σRanked
Q1 2012+2.0105σRanked
Q2 2012+1.8766σRanked
Q3 2012+0.7531σRanked
Q4 2012+0.6070σRanked
Q1 2013−0.4287σRanked
Q2 2013−0.6544σRanked
Q3 2013−0.9873σRanked
Q4 2013−0.9836σRanked
Q1 2014−0.8346σRanked
Q2 2014−1.0368σRanked
Q3 2014−0.5647σRanked
Q4 2014−0.2606σRanked
Q1 2015−0.5850σRanked
Q2 2015−0.7800σRanked
Q3 2015−1.3651σRanked
Q4 2015−1.2777σRanked
Q1 2016−1.2466σRanked
Q2 2016−1.1656σRanked
Q3 2016−0.8532σRanked
Q4 2016−0.8331σRanked
Q1 2017−0.5440σRanked
Q2 2017−0.3781σRanked
Q3 2017+0.7180σRanked
Q4 2017+0.6665σRanked
Q1 2018+0.7015σRanked
Q2 2018+0.6764σRanked
Q3 2018−0.0770σRanked
Q4 2018−0.1592σRanked
Q1 2019−0.2339σRanked
Q2 2019−0.2173σRanked
Q3 2019−0.2933σRanked
Q4 2019−0.1873σRanked
Q1 2020−0.4129σRanked
Q2 2020−0.7791σRanked
Q3 2020−0.9008σRanked
Q4 2020−0.3736σRanked
Q1 2021+0.4324σRanked
Q2 2021+1.0561σRanked
Q3 2021+1.1751σRanked
Q4 2021+0.5507σRanked
Q1 2022−0.0673σRanked
Q2 2022+0.0773σRanked
Q3 2022+0.1864σRanked
Q4 2022+0.0789σRanked
Q1 2023+0.4396σRanked
Q2 2023+0.5756σRanked
Q3 2023+0.3736σRanked
Q4 2023+0.4941σRanked
Q1 2024+0.0912σRanked
Q2 2024−0.2653σRanked
Q3 2024−0.2627σRanked
Q4 2024−0.3519σRanked
Q1 2025−0.3908σRanked
Q2 2025−0.3474σRanked
Q3 2025+0.1773σRanked
Q4 2025+0.1581σRanked
Q1 2026+1.2585σRanked
Q2 2026+0.9727σRanked
Z-Score
+0.9727σ
Q2 2026
Position
73.8
ranked against 264 quarters
Non-dwelling construction
+7.65%
over the year
Machinery and equipment
+15.95%
over the year
Construction, z
+0.3785
μ 2.13%, σ 14.58
Machinery, z
+1.5669
μ 2.08%, σ 8.85
5Analytical Interpretation

At +0.9727σ (Q2 2026), business investment is growing well above its 2011–2025 average, led by machinery and equipment (+15.95% over the year) with non-dwelling construction also up (+7.65%). Position. 73.8, ranked against 264 quarters since September 1960.

The reading eased from +1.2585σ in March 2026, the highest since June 2012, after a large rise in machinery and equipment investment in the March quarter. From June 2024 to June 2025 the node read below zero.

7Certification Statement
APN Codex Node 21238 — Business Investment Growth — Certified
  • Both inputs are sourced from a Tier-1 sovereign statistical release (ABS national accounts)
  • The Z-score of +0.9727σ (Q2 2026) is derived directly from the certified inputs against their 2011–2025 baselines, not manually entered or estimated
  • The position is an empirical percentile rank against 264 quarters
  • No commercial data provider dependency exists within this node