population growth | Australian Property Network™

Capital Cities and the Rest: Population Growth by Greater Capital City

In the year to June 2025 the capital cities grew 1.76% and the rest of the states 1.08%, taking 77% of national growth. The capitals grow through overseas migration while Sydney and Melbourne lose residents internally.

Friday October 2, 2026

Demographic Analysis

The Population the Projections Expected: ABS Projections Against What Happened

By June 2025 Australia’s population was 369,000 below the 2017-based medium projection and 207,000 above the 2022-based one. How two editions of ABS projections compare with what happened.

Friday October 2, 2026

Population Growth & Distribution

Where Growth Lands: Population Change by State and Territory

Western Australia grew fastest in the year to March 2026 and Tasmania slowest. Overseas migration was the largest source of growth in every state, while New South Wales lost 20,818 people interstate and Queensland gained 14,718.

Thursday October 1, 2026

The Population Growth Rate Since 2011: Where 1.43% Sits

Population Growth & Distribution

The Population Growth Rate Since 2011: Where 1.43% Sits

Australia’s population grew 1.43% in the year to March 2026: below its 2011–2025 average of 1.52%, slower than in all but 11 of those 60 quarters, and close to its average since 1982.

Monday September 28, 2026

Births, Deaths and Arrivals: Where Australia’s Population Growth Comes From

Demographic Analysis

Births, Deaths and Arrivals: Where Australia’s Population Growth Comes From

Three in every four of the 392,800 people added to Australia’s population in the year to March 2026 came from net overseas migration. Births have held near 300,000 a year while deaths have risen by a third, so natural increase...

Sunday September 27, 2026

APN Investment Conditions Index™

Why the APN Investment Conditions Index™ Rose With the March Quarter Population Figures

The Signed Reading of the APN Investment Conditions Index™ rose from 32.8 to 52.7 with the March quarter 2026 population figures. One of its six conditions changed, and it changed with the season: demographic demand rises every March quarter.

Saturday September 19, 2026

Net Overseas Migration and the March Quarter: Reading the 2026 Population Figures

Migration Trends

Net Overseas Migration and the March Quarter: Reading the 2026 Population Figures

Net overseas migration rose from 56,100 in the December quarter to 101,000 in the March quarter of 2026, but it rises between those quarters every year. Against earlier March quarters it is the lowest since 2021, and over the year...

Friday September 18, 2026

Growth Per Person: How Much of Australia’s GDP Growth Comes From a Larger Population

GDP & Economic Growth

Growth Per Person: How Much of Australia’s GDP Growth Comes From a Larger Population

GDP grew 0.42% in the June quarter of 2026, and about 0.38 points of that came from a larger population. In the four years to June 2026, output per person averaged −0.06% a year, and GDP per capita remains 0.37%...

Tuesday September 15, 2026

The Stability Paradox: What Four Years of Population Flows Reveal About Structural Scores

Demographic Trend Analysis

The Stability Paradox: What Four Years of Population Flows Reveal About Structural Scores

Structural scores measured in 2021 predicted essentially nothing about where Australia's population grew over the following four years — density did. But residential stability was predictable, by one measure: tenure structure anticipated four years of churn at r = −0.54....

Monday August 17, 2026

Rental Market Analysis

The Ownership Drift: What Two Censuses Show About the Distribution of Australia’s Renters

Across 517 comparable LGAs matched to the ratified 2016↔2021 census concordance, the national renter share barely moved (31.8% to 31.1%) — but 455 of 517 LGAs recorded a decline. Renting concentrated into Greater Sydney and inner Perth; the high-growth coastal...

Friday August 14, 2026

Demographic Trend Analysis

The Absorption Gap: Population Growth vs Building Approvals Across 546 LGAs

Population growth tracks building approvals closely across 546 LGAs (r = 0.952) — but Western Australia absorbs growth at 4.63 persons per approval, nearly double Victoria and NSW. Splitting population growth by migration source reveals why: inner and middle-ring Perth...

Friday July 17, 2026

Demographic Trend Analysis

The Approval Gap: Population Growth and Building Approval Intensity Across 70 Australian LGAs

Population growth and building approvals correlate strongly across 70 LGAs (r = 0.84) — but 24 LGAs depart from that pattern by 1.75 dwellings per 1,000 residents or more. Eleven established, mostly high-advantage suburbs under-build relative to their own growth;...

Tuesday July 14, 2026

The Overseas Offset: Domestic Migration Losses Across Australia’s 40 Most Populous LGAs

Population Growth & Distribution

The Overseas Offset: Domestic Migration Losses Across Australia’s 40 Most Populous LGAs

Eighteen of the 40 most populous LGAs are net exporters of internal migrants — losing more residents to the rest of Australia than they gain — with overseas migration masking the loss on the headline growth figure. This analysis separates...

Friday July 10, 2026

Regional & State-Level Insight

Momentum, Not Milestones: Population Trajectory Across Twenty of Australia’s Largest-Growth LGAs

The three fastest-growing LGAs over the past decade — Wyndham, Hume and Casey — are all now decelerating. Only two of twenty are currently accelerating, and they look nothing alike. This analysis compares five- and ten-year population CAGR, migration churn,...

Thursday July 9, 2026

The Social Deficit: The Structural Production of Socio-Economic Divergence in Australia’s Growth Model

Policy Commentary & Critique

The Social Deficit: The Structural Production of Socio-Economic Divergence in Australia’s Growth Model

Australia’s growth strategy has become a "Liveability Ponzi" scheme. We are liquidating our quality of life to fuel headline GDP, deliberately engineering a two-speed society where the infrastructure-rich core leaves the "commuter deserts" behind.

Thursday December 18, 2025

The Social Deficit: Why Australia’s Growth Strategy is Systemically Devaluing the Australian Dream

Policy Commentary & Critique

The Social Deficit: Why Australia’s Growth Strategy is Systemically Devaluing the Australian Dream

The APN Senior Analyst's blueprint shows a critical deficit between population growth and housing. But the "so what" is far more dangerous: we are running a "Liveability Ponzi." By failing to align growth with infrastructure and amenity, we are creating...

Sunday November 9, 2025

A Clash of Symptoms, A Union of Cause: Deconstruction of “FULL DEBATE: What’s REALLY Causing Australia’s Housing Crisis?”

National Perspective

A Clash of Symptoms, A Union of Cause: Deconstruction of “FULL DEBATE: What’s REALLY Causing Australia’s Housing Crisis?”

Economists Clash, But Their Agreement is the Real Story In a Punters Politics debate, Leith van Onselen blamed the rental crisis on excessive immigration (a Project Overlord demand shock), while Matt Grudnoff blamed the price crisis on tax-driven speculation (the...

Tuesday October 28, 2025

The Empty Oasis: Australia’s Property Market in a Depopulating World

Population Growth & Distribution

The Empty Oasis: Australia’s Property Market in a Depopulating World

Australia's property market appears to be a fortress of stability, but it is a demographic oasis in a depopulating world. This insight explores why our structural dependence on a shrinking global pool of migrants represents the single greatest systemic risk...

Sunday September 14, 2025

The Australian Anomaly: Why Global Depopulation is a Systemic Threat to the Property Market

Migration Trends

The Australian Anomaly: Why Global Depopulation is a Systemic Threat to the Property Market

Australia's property market is built on high population growth, but a global depopulation trend threatens this foundation. APN's analysis deconstructs this "Australian Anomaly," revealing how our economy's dependence on a shrinking pool of global migrants creates a profound, long-term systemic...

Sunday September 14, 2025

Project Carrying Capacity: Deconstructing Australia’s Population, Housing, and Infrastructure Collision

Strategic Planning & Regional Development Analysis

Project Carrying Capacity: Deconstructing Australia’s Population, Housing, and Infrastructure Collision

A deep-dive intelligence report reveals Australia's carrying capacity is at a breaking point, with high-growth migration fundamentally disconnected from housing and infrastructure supply. APN's analysis synthesises the key findings on our structural housing deficit, declining per-capita services, and the threat-multiplying...

Saturday September 13, 2025

Australia’s 30,000-Home Deficit: Dissecting the Numbers Behind the Housing Shortfall

Housing Policy

Australia’s 30,000-Home Deficit: Dissecting the Numbers Behind the Housing Shortfall

Editor’s Note: This is Part 1 of the APN Insight series, “The Anatomy of a Crisis.” The series was prompted by a viral video from MacroBusiness economist Leith van Onselen, which crystallised the scale of the nation’s housing shortfall. In...

Tuesday August 12, 2025

Tag: population growth

Capital Cities and the Rest: Population Growth by Greater Capital City

The Population the Projections Expected: ABS Projections Against What Happened

Where Growth Lands: Population Change by State and Territory

The Population Growth Rate Since 2011: Where 1.43% Sits

Births, Deaths and Arrivals: Where Australia’s Population Growth Comes From

Why the APN Investment Conditions Index™ Rose With the March Quarter Population Figures

Net Overseas Migration and the March Quarter: Reading the 2026 Population Figures

Growth Per Person: How Much of Australia’s GDP Growth Comes From a Larger Population

The Stability Paradox: What Four Years of Population Flows Reveal About Structural Scores

The Absorption Gap: Population Growth vs Building Approvals Across 546 LGAs

The Approval Gap: Population Growth and Building Approval Intensity Across 70 Australian LGAs

The Overseas Offset: Domestic Migration Losses Across Australia’s 40 Most Populous LGAs

Momentum, Not Milestones: Population Trajectory Across Twenty of Australia’s Largest-Growth LGAs

The Empty Oasis: Australia’s Property Market in a Depopulating World

The Australian Anomaly: Why Global Depopulation is a Systemic Threat to the Property Market

Project Carrying Capacity: Deconstructing Australia’s Population, Housing, and Infrastructure Collision

Australia’s 30,000-Home Deficit: Dissecting the Numbers Behind the Housing Shortfall

Degrees by Suburb: Who Holds a University Qualification, by Age, State and Suburb at the 2021 Census

Where University Students Live: Higher Education Students by State and Suburb at the 2021 Census

Government, Catholic and Other Schools: Where School Students Go, by State and Suburb

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