Population Growth & Distribution
Population Growth & Distribution (21410) measures how fast Australia’s population is growing: growth over the year in estimated resident population, in per cent. Higher readings mean faster growth, and more people to house. It is a component of the APN Aggregate Demographic Index™ (21400), at a weight of 0.25.
Measure change, October 2026. Until October 2026 this node read the level of the population. A population level rises almost every quarter, so its position measured the date rather than conditions; the node now reads the rate of growth, and the level is shown as context. Estimated resident population is revised at each Census rebasing, and recent quarters are preliminary. The node reads the national total; growth by state is read in the State & Territory Conditions series (21800).
Primary metric: Node Z-Score (Z21410)
Metric typology: single-series Z-score of a growth rate.
| Input | Source | Frequency | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated resident population, Australia | ABS National, state and territory population (3101.0), A2133251W | Quarterly | September quarter 1981 to March quarter 2026 |
Tier-1 sovereign statistical releases (ABS). No commercial data provider dependency exists within this node.
The chart shows the node’s reading in every quarter, measured against the 2011–2025 baseline.
The March quarter 2026 reading, −0.1883σ, ranks 49.4 against 175 quarters and sits inside the normal range of −1.0504σ to +0.6110σ. The highest ranked reading was +2.0964σ in the September quarter 2023, and the lowest −2.9435σ in the March quarter 2021.
Show the data
| Quarter | Reading | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 1982 | +0.3197σ | Ranked |
| Q4 1982 | +0.0870σ | Ranked |
| Q1 1983 | −0.0686σ | Ranked |
| Q2 1983 | −0.2888σ | Ranked |
| Q3 1983 | −0.4298σ | Ranked |
| Q4 1983 | −0.5077σ | Ranked |
| Q1 1984 | −0.6432σ | Ranked |
| Q2 1984 | −0.6428σ | Ranked |
| Q3 1984 | −0.6019σ | Ranked |
| Q4 1984 | −0.5516σ | Ranked |
| Q1 1985 | −0.4075σ | Ranked |
| Q2 1985 | −0.3666σ | Ranked |
| Q3 1985 | −0.3449σ | Ranked |
| Q4 1985 | −0.1936σ | Ranked |
| Q1 1986 | −0.1850σ | Ranked |
| Q2 1986 | −0.1250σ | Ranked |
| Q3 1986 | −0.0668σ | Ranked |
| Q4 1986 | −0.0408σ | Ranked |
| Q1 1987 | +0.0032σ | Ranked |
| Q2 1987 | +0.0309σ | Ranked |
| Q3 1987 | +0.1280σ | Ranked |
| Q4 1987 | +0.1395σ | Ranked |
| Q1 1988 | +0.2798σ | Ranked |
| Q2 1988 | +0.2735σ | Ranked |
| Q3 1988 | +0.4554σ | Ranked |
| Q4 1988 | +0.5523σ | Ranked |
| Q1 1989 | +0.5312σ | Ranked |
| Q2 1989 | +0.3923σ | Ranked |
| Q3 1989 | +0.0907σ | Ranked |
| Q4 1989 | −0.0455σ | Ranked |
| Q1 1990 | −0.1587σ | Ranked |
| Q2 1990 | −0.0554σ | Ranked |
| Q3 1990 | −0.0857σ | Ranked |
| Q4 1990 | −0.2932σ | Ranked |
| Q1 1991 | −0.3206σ | Ranked |
| Q2 1991 | −0.4872σ | Ranked |
| Q3 1991 | −0.5092σ | Ranked |
| Q4 1991 | −0.6205σ | Ranked |
| Q1 1992 | −0.6942σ | Ranked |
| Q2 1992 | −0.8123σ | Ranked |
| Q3 1992 | −0.9417σ | Ranked |
| Q4 1992 | −1.0219σ | Ranked |
| Q1 1993 | −1.1460σ | Ranked |
| Q2 1993 | −1.2938σ | Ranked |
| Q3 1993 | −1.2488σ | Ranked |
| Q4 1993 | −1.2336σ | Ranked |
| Q1 1994 | −1.2334σ | Ranked |
| Q2 1994 | −1.1397σ | Ranked |
| Q3 1994 | −1.0878σ | Ranked |
| Q4 1994 | −1.1072σ | Ranked |
| Q1 1995 | −1.0538σ | Ranked |
| Q2 1995 | −0.8248σ | Ranked |
| Q3 1995 | −0.7912σ | Ranked |
| Q4 1995 | −0.5257σ | Ranked |
| Q1 1996 | −0.5538σ | Ranked |
| Q2 1996 | −0.6145σ | Ranked |
| Q3 1996 | −0.6317σ | Ranked |
| Q4 1996 | −0.7381σ | Ranked |
| Q1 1997 | −0.7204σ | Ranked |
| Q2 1997 | −0.8919σ | Ranked |
| Q3 1997 | −1.0213σ | Ranked |
| Q4 1997 | −1.1118σ | Ranked |
| Q1 1998 | −1.0755σ | Ranked |
| Q2 1998 | −1.0692σ | Ranked |
| Q3 1998 | −1.0171σ | Ranked |
| Q4 1998 | −0.9557σ | Ranked |
| Q1 1999 | −0.9352σ | Ranked |
| Q2 1999 | −0.8658σ | Ranked |
| Q3 1999 | −0.8209σ | Ranked |
| Q4 1999 | −0.7791σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2000 | −0.7586σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2000 | −0.7606σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2000 | −0.7478σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2000 | −0.7160σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2001 | −0.5423σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2001 | −0.4675σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2001 | −0.5059σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2001 | −0.4875σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2002 | −0.6868σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2002 | −0.7748σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2002 | −0.7890σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2002 | −0.8056σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2003 | −0.7668σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2003 | −0.7485σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2003 | −0.7657σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2003 | −0.8011σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2004 | −0.8549σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2004 | −0.9178σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2004 | −0.8787σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2004 | −0.8587σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2005 | −0.7236σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2005 | −0.6077σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2005 | −0.5019σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2005 | −0.4007σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2006 | −0.3499σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2006 | −0.3291σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2006 | −0.0989σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2006 | +0.0789σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2007 | +0.3569σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2007 | +0.6712σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2007 | +0.7077σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2007 | +0.7591σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2008 | +0.9123σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2008 | +1.0501σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2008 | +1.2309σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2008 | +1.3863σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2009 | +1.2922σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2009 | +1.1707σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2009 | +0.9492σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2009 | +0.6184σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2010 | +0.3315σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2010 | +0.1040σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2010 | −0.1369σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2010 | −0.2367σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2011 | −0.2705σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2011 | −0.2464σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2011 | −0.0664σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2011 | +0.1233σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2012 | +0.3177σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2012 | +0.5052σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2012 | +0.5603σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2012 | +0.5889σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2013 | +0.5354σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2013 | +0.4520σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2013 | +0.3609σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2013 | +0.1973σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2014 | +0.1212σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2014 | −0.0307σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2014 | −0.0868σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2014 | −0.0987σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2015 | −0.1403σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2015 | −0.1413σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2015 | −0.1427σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2015 | −0.1271σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2016 | −0.0226σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2016 | +0.1170σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2016 | +0.2636σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2016 | +0.3153σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2017 | +0.3628σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2017 | +0.2961σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2017 | +0.2033σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2017 | +0.0323σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2018 | −0.0137σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2018 | −0.0215σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2018 | +0.0216σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2018 | +0.0948σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2019 | +0.0455σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2019 | −0.0612σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2019 | −0.0807σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2019 | −0.0598σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2020 | −0.1678σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2020 | −0.5737σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2020 | −1.5557σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2020 | −2.2513σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2021 | −2.9435σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2021 | −2.8539σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2021 | −2.5683σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2021 | −1.9890σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2022 | −1.0453σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2022 | −0.4563σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2022 | +0.5998σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2022 | +1.2494σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2023 | +1.6642σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2023 | +1.9626σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2023 | +2.0964σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2023 | +1.8662σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2024 | +1.5387σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2024 | +1.0092σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2024 | +0.4688σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2024 | +0.1944σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2025 | +0.0259σ | Ranked |
| Q2 2025 | −0.0407σ | Ranked |
| Q3 2025 | −0.0093σ | Ranked |
| Q4 2025 | −0.1251σ | Ranked |
| Q1 2026 | −0.1883σ | Ranked |
At −0.1883σ (Q1 2026), the population grew 1.43% in the year to March 2026, slightly below its 2011–2025 average of 1.52%. Position. 49.4, ranked against 175 quarters since September 1982: close to the middle of the record.
Growth fell to 0.10% in the year to March 2021, while the international border was closed, and rose to 2.53% in the year to September 2023 as overseas migration resumed, the fastest since the record began in 1982. It has eased in each of the past two quarters.
The other components of the APN Aggregate Demographic Index™ (21400), and the series’ companion node.
- The input is a Tier-1 sovereign statistical release (ABS)
- The Z-score of −0.1883σ (Q1 2026) is derived directly from the input against the 2011–2025 baseline, not manually entered or estimated
- The position is an empirical percentile rank against 175 quarters
- The change from the population level to its growth rate, and population revisions, are disclosed
