APN Codex Node 2412124100 Series — Social Capital, Sentinel BranchCertified

Violent Crime Risk

Localities (N)
6,778
National Mean
52.41
Std Dev
28.25
Range
0.00–100.00

Statistics on this page describe the 6,778 scored localities with more than 200 residents. 14,707 localities are scored in all.

1What It Measures

One of six Sentinel components. Reads the recorded violent crime rate for each locality: offences per 100,000 residents in the council area, police district or reporting unit the locality sits in. The score is an inverted national percentile rank, so a higher score means lower recorded violent crime.

Offences counted: homicide, assault, sexual offences and robbery.

Population: ABS estimated resident population at 30 June 2025.

Source: state and territory police and crime statistics agencies. The reference period is the year to March 2026, except in South Australia (2024–25) and Tasmania (2022–23).

2Geographic Grain & Coverage
Mixed geographic grain — disclosed, not a data gap

A locality carries the rate of the unit its police service reports. Of the 6,778 localities with more than 200 residents, 5,814 are read at council-area grain (New South Wales, Victoria, Queensland, South Australia and Tasmania), 800 at police-district grain (Western Australia and the Australian Capital Territory) and 162 in the Northern Territory, where four centres are read by council area and the remainder by district. Two New South Wales localities keep a suburb-grain rate. Localities in one unit share its rate, so the score does not distinguish suburbs within a council area or police district.

Publication rule: localities with 200 residents or fewer are scored and are not published in any ranking, list or map, in any state or territory. This page reports national aggregate statistics, not individual locality rankings.

3National Distribution
N
6,778
Mean
52.41
Std Dev
28.25
Min
0.00
Max
100.00
Distribution
24121 Score — 6,778 Localities Over 200 Residents

Scores are ranked across all 14,707 scored localities, where they spread evenly from 0 to 100. Among the localities with more than 200 residents shown here the spread is uneven, with a mean of 52.41.

4Pillar Alignment and Geography

Alignment with the pillar. Across the 6,760 localities with more than 200 residents scored on both, this component and APN Sentinel™ (Safety & Sentiment Index) (24120) have a correlation of 0.67, on a scale where 1 means the two scores move together exactly and 0 means they are unrelated. The two are moderately aligned: a locality that scores high on this component tends to score above average on Sentinel, with many exceptions. This component is one of the pillar’s six inputs, so part of that alignment is built into the pillar itself.

By State and Territory
Average 24121 Score by State and Territory

Each bar is the average score of the jurisdiction’s localities with more than 200 residents, with every locality counted equally regardless of population; the dashed line marks the national mean of 52.41. Tasmania averages highest at 74.8 (319 localities) and the Northern Territory lowest at 11.0 (162). The Australian Capital Territory averages 71.1, South Australia 67.0, Victoria 60.2, New South Wales 53.7, Queensland 49.3 and Western Australia 23.6. Police services in each state and territory record and publish offences differently, and several jurisdictions report at a coarser geography than the locality, so differences between jurisdictions partly reflect recording practice. Tasmania’s reading rests on 2022–23 offences.

6Certification
APN Codex Node 24121 — Certified, v0.4
  • Inverted national percentile rank of the recorded violent crime rate per 100,000 residents
  • ABS estimated resident population at 30 June 2025; one offence basket in every jurisdiction
  • Statistics describe localities with more than 200 residents