APN Codex Node 21241 21240 — Household Finance & Spending Certified

Household Leverage

Z-Score
+0.6894σ
Period
Q2 2026
Position
49.7 of 148 qtrs
Vintage
2026-Q4
1Node Definition

Household Leverage (21241) measures how fast households are taking on housing debt relative to their income: the change over four quarters in housing debt as a share of annualised household disposable income, in percentage points. Higher readings mean housing debt is rising faster than income. It sits beside Household Finance & Spending (21240), which reads the composition of new lending, and is read alongside Debt-Servicing Burden (21242), which reads what the debt costs to repay.

Known limitations

The ratio is compiled by the Reserve Bank from ABS financial accounts and national accounts. Housing debt includes the debt of unincorporated businesses, and disposable income includes their income and is measured before interest is paid. Both are revised as the ABS revises its accounts. The level of the ratio is not standardised: it rose from 32% in 1988 to a peak of 139% in 2022, so a standardised level would largely measure the passage of time. The four-quarter change is used instead, and the level is shown as context.

2Metric Definition

Primary metric: Node Z-Score (Z21241)

Z-Score Construction
Current (Q2 2026)+0.6894σ
LtHousing debt as a share of annualised household disposable income, end of quarter t: 134.90% in June 2026, 132.12% a year earlier
μ, σBaseline mean and sample standard deviation of the four-quarter change, 2011–2025 (+0.92 and 2.71 points, 60 quarters)

Metric typology: single-series Z-score of a four-quarter change in a ratio.

3Data Sources
InputSourceFrequencyCoverage
Housing debt to incomeReserve Bank of Australia, Statistical Table E2 Household Finances – Selected Ratios, BHFDDIH (compiled from ABS 5232.0 and 5206.0)QuarterlySeptember quarter 1988 to June quarter 2026
Context: household debt to incomeRBA Table E2, BHFDDITQuarterlyJune quarter 1988 to June quarter 2026
Context: housing debt to housing assetsRBA Table E2, BHFHDHAQuarterlySeptember quarter 1988 to June quarter 2026

Tier-1 central bank statistics compiled from sovereign statistical releases. No commercial data provider dependency exists within this node.

4Reading History

The chart shows the node’s reading in every quarter, measured against the 2011–2025 baseline.

Household Leverage (21241) · Reading History
Node Z-Score by Quarter, March 2011 to June 2026
+0.6894σ · position 49.7, ranked against 148 quarters
Reading, ranked quartersNormal range (middle 80% of ranked quarters)Current reading

The June quarter 2026 reading, +0.6894σ, ranks 49.7 against 148 quarters and sits inside the normal range of −1.0025σ to +1.9381σ. The highest ranked reading was +3.9437σ in the March quarter 2004, and the lowest −1.4000σ in the March quarter 2024.

Show the data
QuarterReadingBasis
Q3 1989−0.3814σRanked
Q4 1989−0.5076σRanked
Q1 1990−0.8721σRanked
Q2 1990−0.8774σRanked
Q3 1990−0.4998σRanked
Q4 1990−0.3319σRanked
Q1 1991−0.0217σRanked
Q2 1991+0.2434σRanked
Q3 1991+0.5703σRanked
Q4 1991+0.8165σRanked
Q1 1992+0.6880σRanked
Q2 1992+0.6696σRanked
Q3 1992+0.6606σRanked
Q4 1992+0.5439σRanked
Q1 1993+0.8524σRanked
Q2 1993+0.9889σRanked
Q3 1993+1.2615σRanked
Q4 1993+1.5935σRanked
Q1 1994+1.7323σRanked
Q2 1994+1.9323σRanked
Q3 1994+1.9515σRanked
Q4 1994+1.7689σRanked
Q1 1995+1.5495σRanked
Q2 1995+1.1382σRanked
Q3 1995+0.6919σRanked
Q4 1995+0.5842σRanked
Q1 1996+0.4933σRanked
Q2 1996+0.5154σRanked
Q3 1996+0.3885σRanked
Q4 1996+0.5163σRanked
Q1 1997+0.5028σRanked
Q2 1997+0.7000σRanked
Q3 1997+1.0725σRanked
Q4 1997+0.9169σRanked
Q1 1998+1.3206σRanked
Q2 1998+1.3849σRanked
Q3 1998+1.4314σRanked
Q4 1998+1.7535σRanked
Q1 1999+1.4468σRanked
Q2 1999+1.5061σRanked
Q3 1999+1.6311σRanked
Q4 1999+1.4288σRanked
Q1 2000+1.3855σRanked
Q2 2000+1.6338σRanked
Q3 2000+1.4362σRanked
Q4 2000+1.2302σRanked
Q1 2001+1.2206σRanked
Q2 2001+0.8161σRanked
Q3 2001+1.2324σRanked
Q4 2001+1.7307σRanked
Q1 2002+2.1780σRanked
Q2 2002+2.6575σRanked
Q3 2002+3.2093σRanked
Q4 2002+3.4292σRanked
Q1 2003+3.6488σRanked
Q2 2003+3.8892σRanked
Q3 2003+3.7451σRanked
Q4 2003+3.9282σRanked
Q1 2004+3.9437σRanked
Q2 2004+3.3574σRanked
Q3 2004+2.6149σRanked
Q4 2004+1.8534σRanked
Q1 2005+0.8629σRanked
Q2 2005+1.1417σRanked
Q3 2005+0.8139σRanked
Q4 2005+1.2571σRanked
Q1 2006+1.4928σRanked
Q2 2006+1.9594σRanked
Q3 2006+2.0811σRanked
Q4 2006+1.2754σRanked
Q1 2007+0.7398σRanked
Q2 2007−0.0894σRanked
Q3 2007−0.4442σRanked
Q4 2007−0.2360σRanked
Q1 2008−0.0289σRanked
Q2 2008−0.0112σRanked
Q3 2008−0.1532σRanked
Q4 2008−0.8873σRanked
Q1 2009−0.5876σRanked
Q2 2009−0.6628σRanked
Q3 2009+0.0852σRanked
Q4 2009+1.4907σRanked
Q1 2010+1.6988σRanked
Q2 2010+1.8471σRanked
Q3 2010+1.2473σRanked
Q4 2010+0.2235σRanked
Q1 2011−0.2146σRanked
Q2 2011−1.1711σRanked
Q3 2011−1.1361σRanked
Q4 2011−1.1889σRanked
Q1 2012−1.0492σRanked
Q2 2012−0.4804σRanked
Q3 2012−0.0991σRanked
Q4 2012+0.2720σRanked
Q1 2013+0.3542σRanked
Q2 2013+0.7121σRanked
Q3 2013−0.0513σRanked
Q4 2013+0.1258σRanked
Q1 2014+0.0684σRanked
Q2 2014−0.1462σRanked
Q3 2014+0.5893σRanked
Q4 2014+0.4877σRanked
Q1 2015+0.7544σRanked
Q2 2015+1.0445σRanked
Q3 2015+1.0526σRanked
Q4 2015+1.2851σRanked
Q1 2016+1.4524σRanked
Q2 2016+1.5825σRanked
Q3 2016+2.0100σRanked
Q4 2016+1.7913σRanked
Q1 2017+1.6170σRanked
Q2 2017+1.5213σRanked
Q3 2017+1.1678σRanked
Q4 2017+1.2208σRanked
Q1 2018+1.0112σRanked
Q2 2018+0.4843σRanked
Q3 2018−0.0779σRanked
Q4 2018−0.3884σRanked
Q1 2019−0.6390σRanked
Q2 2019−0.6340σRanked
Q3 2019−0.6734σRanked
Q4 2019−0.2149σRanked
Q1 2020−0.4506σRanked
Q2 2020−0.8103σRanked
Q3 2020−0.9986σRanked
Q4 2020−1.3645σRanked
Q1 2021−1.0115σRanked
Q2 2021+0.0213σRanked
Q3 2021+1.0141σRanked
Q4 2021+1.3373σRanked
Q1 2022+1.5480σRanked
Q2 2022+0.9153σRanked
Q3 2022+0.3560σRanked
Q4 2022−0.2889σRanked
Q1 2023−0.7393σRanked
Q2 2023−1.1029σRanked
Q3 2023−1.2916σRanked
Q4 2023−1.2314σRanked
Q1 2024−1.4000σRanked
Q2 2024−1.1646σRanked
Q3 2024−1.2626σRanked
Q4 2024−1.1459σRanked
Q1 2025−1.1459σRanked
Q2 2025−1.1092σRanked
Q3 2025−0.7472σRanked
Q4 2025−0.3672σRanked
Q1 2026+0.4131σRanked
Q2 2026+0.6894σRanked
Z-Score
+0.6894σ
Q2 2026
Position
49.7
ranked against 148 quarters
Change over the year
+2.78 points
baseline average +0.92
Housing debt to income
134.90%
June 2026
Household debt to income
178.39%
context
Housing debt to housing assets
21.86%
context; 2011–2025 average 25.56%
5Analytical Interpretation

At +0.6894σ (Q2 2026), housing debt rose 2.78 points faster than income over the year to June 2026, from 132.12% to 134.90% of annual disposable income. It is the largest four-quarter rise since June 2022 (+3.40 points). From March 2023 to December 2025 every four-quarter change was negative, as disposable income grew faster than housing debt; the change turned positive in March 2026.

Position. 49.7, ranked against 148 quarters since September 1989. The current rise sits near the middle of the record because the 1990s and early 2000s held much larger ones: the four-quarter change peaked at +11.59 points in March 2004.

Measured against the value of housing rather than income, households are less geared than over most of the past fifteen years: housing debt is 21.86% of housing assets, against a 2011–2025 average of 25.56%.

7Certification Statement
APN Codex Node 21241 — Household Leverage — Certified
  • The input is a Tier-1 central bank statistic (RBA), compiled from ABS financial and national accounts
  • The Z-score of +0.6894σ (Q2 2026) is derived directly from the input against the 2011–2025 baseline, not manually entered or estimated
  • The position is an empirical percentile rank against 148 quarters
  • The ratio’s definitions, its revisions and the use of the change rather than the level are disclosed
  • No commercial data provider dependency exists within this node